This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 64 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 19 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 12:55PM EDT until March 16 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
An estimated 237,811 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 29, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 55 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 77% |
| Coordinates | 27.7000, -81.7000 |
| Nearest City | Lake Wales (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 237.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T16:55:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.72a89a487908dbb139580f2b46fa02b2 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Dixie, FL; Lafayette, FL; Madison, FL; Taylor, FL; Berrien, GA; Brooks, GA; Cook, GA; Lanier, GA; Lowndes, GA; Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River Fl out to 20 Nm; Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out to 20 Nm; Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM; Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM; Columbia, FL; Gilchrist, FL; Hamilton, FL; Suwannee, FL; Appling, GA; Atkinson, GA; Bacon, GA; Brantley, GA; Clinch, GA; Coffee, GA; Echols, GA; Jeff Davis, GA; Pierce, GA; Ware, GA; Wayne, GA |
| Headline | Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 12:55PM EDT until March 16 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T14:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tallahassee FL |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.72a89a487908dbb139580f2b46fa02b25f7c4bc8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.72a89a487908dbb139580f2b46fa02b25f7c4bc8.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f564460cc80a1b1294bac20a0de9282e8c54c75f.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Lake Wales?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.